Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced +1.8pts: 59¢ at window start → 61¢ at close
• BOOK Book 1.4:1 ask, $14.8k/$20.1k within 10¢
• VOLUME 0.5× this market's 7-day norm, $10.1k in 24h

Book 1.4:1 ask, $14.8k/$20.1k within 10¢ · spread 1.1¢

Triggers (1)

• 03 Aug 2026, 23:49 UTC: Sustained reprice: 59¢ → 63¢ (+3.9pts), confirmed over 98s

Context

• Opening move ≈ 0.25× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
• 16 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 63¢, drift -0.1pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 61¢, held +2.0ptspts
• Peak move: +4.0pts
• Held 44% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: yes
• Price at close: 61¢
• Graded from 40 snapshots