REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Window 03 Aug 2026, 14:28 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 15:58 UTC
Price at window start 90¢ → at trigger 95¢ → at close 95¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 20 Jan 2029, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced +4.6pts: 90¢ at window start → 95¢ at close
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 87¢ (band 64¢–87¢)
band from 162 hourly obs / 6.9d
- VOLUME 6.2× this market's 7-day norm, $192.0k in 24h
- BOOK Book 9.3:1 ask, $38.2k/$353.5k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $3.8k, 11.3× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 3,361 trades / 7d
Book 9.3:1 ask, $38.2k/$353.5k within 10¢ · spread 0.1¢
Triggers (1)
- 03 Aug 2026, 14:28 UTC: Sustained reprice: 90¢ → 95¢ (+4.3pts), confirmed over 31s
Context artifact
@zerohedge · X: posted 7 min before the break
*REPUBLICAN SENATORS DROP BLOCK ON TRUMP'S ATTORNEY GENERAL PICK
View the post
Shown as timing context from the sources TruthPing watches. Its appearance near the move is an observation, not an explanation.
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.18× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
- 100 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
- +30m: 95¢, held +4.2ptspts
- Peak move: +4.6pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: no data
- Price at close: 95¢
- Graded from 19 snapshots