REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Window 03 Aug 2026, 10:25 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 11:55 UTC
Price at window start 43¢ → at trigger 39¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -1.5pts: 43¢ at window start → 41¢ now
- BOOK Book 1.1:1 ask, $3.3k/$3.7k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $873, 2.1× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,194 trades / 7d
Triggers (1)
- 03 Aug 2026, 10:25 UTC: Sustained reprice: 43¢ → 39¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.19× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time