OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Window 03 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 21:34 UTC
Price at window start 46¢ → at trigger 46¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -0.5pts: 46¢ at window start → 45¢ now
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $967, 1.6× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,663 trades / 7d
DEPTH PENDING
Triggers (1)
- 03 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC: Band breach (upper): 46¢ → 46¢ (+0.5pts), confirmed over 31s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.02× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time