QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 12:59 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 14:29 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 12:21 UTC

A MEMBER OF IRAN'S PARLIAMENT SAID THE UNITED STATES IS SEEKING TO ELIMINATE TEHRAN-BACKED ARMED GROUPS ACROSS THE REGION, FOLLOWING REPORTED US AND SAUDI STRIKES ON POSITIONS HELD BY IRAQ'S POPULAR MOBILIZATION FORCES (PMF).