QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 06:16 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 04:55 UTC

Drone strike hits warehouse in Russia's Vladimir region, according to regional governor.