QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 22:34 UTC → 04 Aug 2026, 00:04 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 03 Aug 2026, 11:21 UTC

EU'S VON DER LEYEN SAYS TO SANCHEZ IN LETTER: CLEAR WE MUST DO MORE TO STRENGTHEN BORDERS AT CRITICAL POINTS