QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 03 Aug 2026, 12:52 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 14:22 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@DeItaone · 03 Aug 2026, 10:28 UTC

IRAN DISMISSES TRUMP'S TALKS PUSH Iran signaled no interest in resuming negotiations with the U.S., despite President Trump's comments about a possible agreement. Tehran said its focus is a separate shipping arrangement with Oman, not reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and blamed Washington for violating June's memorandum, warning no meaningful change is likely while U.S. measures remain in place.