OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Window 02 Aug 2026, 17:20 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 18:50 UTC
Price at window start 49¢ → at trigger 49¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -0.6pts: 49¢ at window start → 49¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 49¢ (band 49¢–53¢)
band from 168 hourly obs / 7.0d
- BOOK Book 1.4:1 ask, $10.8k/$15.5k within 10¢
- VOLUME 0.6× this market's 7-day norm, $2.0k in 24h
Triggers (1)
- 02 Aug 2026, 17:20 UTC: Band breach (lower): 49¢ → 49¢ (-0.6pts), confirmed over 30s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.15× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time