Window 02 Aug 2026, 02:19 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 03:49 UTC
Price at window start 42¢ → at trigger 49¢ → at close 51¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Frozen payload
REPRICED Repriced +8.5pts: 42¢ at window start → 51¢ at close
BOOK Book 1.0:1 bid, $4.4k/$4.3k within 10¢ depth from the 03:36 UTC snapshot (no close reading)
TIMING First reprice T+92m
WIRE Wire: @unusual_whales T+12m, link confidence 95%: "South Korea’s margin loan balance reached a record 38.63 trillion won on June 24
Read more: https://t.co/Qa6EvfdEpo"
WIRE Wire: @FirstSquawk T−74m, link confidence 80%: "Iran's Foreign Minister Warns of Consequences for Any U.S. 'Adventurous Action' During Calls With Turkish, Pakistani …"
VOLUME $17.6k in 24h (7-day norm still forming) volume summed from the market's own trade tape
DEPTH PENDING · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (1)
02 Aug 2026, 02:19 UTC: Sustained reprice: 42¢ → 49¢ (+7.0pts), confirmed over 240s
Context
Opening move ≈ 0.33× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time
13 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)