REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Window 02 Aug 2026, 20:29 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 21:59 UTC
Price at window start 51¢ → at trigger 45¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 15 Aug 2026, 23:59 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced -12.0pts: 51¢ at window start → 39¢ now
- VOLUME 4.4× this market's 7-day norm, $193.2k in 24h
- BOOK Book 1.1:1 bid, $1.9k/$1.7k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $1.4k, 2.1× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,171 trades / 7d
Triggers (2)
- 02 Aug 2026, 20:29 UTC: Sustained reprice: 51¢ → 45¢ (-5.5pts), confirmed over 30s
- 02 Aug 2026, 21:29 UTC: Sustained reprice: 45¢ → 39¢ (-6.5pts), confirmed over 318s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.21× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time