QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Window 02 Aug 2026, 23:02 UTC → 03 Aug 2026, 00:32 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@DeItaone · 02 Aug 2026, 21:44 UTC

HORMUZ DEAL IN SIGHT Trump says Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Iran all urged him to delay planned strikes. He says the attack would have been massive but paused after allies pushed for diplomacy. According to Trump, allies believe a deal is close—first on the Strait of Hormuz, then on Iran's nuclear program.