QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Window 02 Aug 2026, 03:22 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 04:52 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 02 Aug 2026, 00:47 UTC

Abbas Araqchi said Iran would retaliate if the US follows through on Trump’s threat of fresh attacks on the country - SCMP