QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 02 Aug 2026, 08:55 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 10:25 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 02 Aug 2026, 08:03 UTC

Iran considers every threat credible and uses it to increase its military readiness and deterrence, the acting defense minister said on Sunday.