OUTSIDE BAND
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Window 02 Aug 2026, 10:18 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 11:48 UTC
Price at window start 7¢ → at trigger 6¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +0.0pts: 7¢ at window start → 7¢ now
- BOOK Book 4.2:1 ask, $1.4k/$6.1k within 10¢
- VOLUME 0.3× this market's 7-day norm, $58.1k in 24h
Triggers (1)
- 02 Aug 2026, 10:18 UTC: Band breach (lower): 7¢ → 6¢ (-0.5pts), confirmed over 93s
Context
- Opening move ≈ 0.14× the market's trusted 7-day band width at trigger time