QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 02 Aug 2026, 17:13 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 18:43 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 02 Aug 2026, 16:59 UTC

Iranian Foreign Ministry: Opening the Strait of Hormuz is different from our negotiations with the Sultanate of Oman because its closure is linked to the United States violating its commitments.