QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Window 02 Aug 2026, 15:01 UTC → 02 Aug 2026, 16:31 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 02 Aug 2026, 03:34 UTC

US embassies urge citizens to consider departing Middle East - SCMP