QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 19:33 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 17:13 UTC

Channel 12, citing an Israeli official: Israeli estimates that Trump is closer than ever to launching a major attack on Iran, but the matter is not yet confirmed.