QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@DeItaone · 01 Aug 2026, 10:29 UTC

IRANIAN MEDIA SAYS EXPLOSION HEARD IN WESTERN IRAN'S ESLAMABAD GHARB, CAUSE AND SPECIFIC LOCATION UNKNOWN