QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 12:05 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 13:35 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 07:49 UTC

Russia launched a barrage of ballistic missiles against Ukraine’s capital, killing nine people and injuring at least 30, as Ukrainian officials urged the supply of more anti-missile weapons from allies