QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 19:19 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 20:49 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC

Evacuation of U.S. air bases in Bahrain ahead of the reported escalatory strikes - WSN