Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 15:34 UTC

Russian forces damage fuel tanker for Ukrainian army in Odesa port, hit marine tugboat in Mykolaiv port: Ifax