REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Window 01 Aug 2026, 00:22 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 01:52 UTC
Price at window start 6¢ → at trigger 10¢
YES up · NO down
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +4.5pts: 6¢ at window start → 11¢ now
- BOOK Book 2.1:1 ask, $3.4k/$7.1k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $4.0k, 5.5× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 2,733 trades / 7d
Triggers (1)
- 01 Aug 2026, 00:22 UTC: Sustained reprice: 6¢ → 10¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 124s