Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Frozen payload

• REPRICED Repriced -3.5pts: 38¢ at window start → 35¢ at close
• VOLUME 5.7× this market's 7-day norm, $23.2k in 24h
• BOOK Book 1.3:1 bid, $8.0k/$6.2k within 10¢

Book 1.3:1 bid, $8.0k/$6.2k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

• 01 Aug 2026, 12:07 UTC: Sustained reprice: 38¢ → 34¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 30s

Context

• 8 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)

Outcome: graded at window close

• +2m after alert: 32¢, drift +2.0pts in the alert direction
• +30m: 35¢, held +3.0ptspts
• Peak move: +6.0pts
• Held 58% of the peak move at close
• Still beyond trigger at +10m: yes
• Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
• Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
• Gave back half within 60m: no
• Price at close: 35¢
• Graded from 155 snapshots