REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Window 01 Aug 2026, 15:21 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 16:51 UTC
Price at window start 26¢ → at trigger 30¢
YES up · NO down
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +5.0pts: 26¢ at window start → 31¢ now
- VOLUME 2.7× this market's 7-day norm, $79.9k in 24h
- BOOK Book 1.9:1 ask, $4.8k/$9.3k within 10¢
- TIMING First reprice T+1283m
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $400, 1.3× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 1,036 trades / 7d
- WIRE Wire: @WatcherGuru T−1283m, link confidence 70%: "JUST IN: $USDT issuer Tether buys 14 tons of gold in Q2 2026, bringing its holdings to $18.8 billion. https://t.co/Rs…"
Triggers (1)
- 01 Aug 2026, 15:21 UTC: Sustained reprice: 26¢ → 30¢ (+3.5pts), confirmed over 31s