QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 13:48 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 15:18 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@unusual_whales · 31 Jul 2026, 20:37 UTC

Morgan Stanley cut its 2026 China GDP growth forecast to 4.6% from 4.8%