QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 11:26 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 12:56 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 09:06 UTC

China conducted naval and air patrols around the disputed Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea, saying the drills were to protect its territorial claims.