QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 12:09 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 13:39 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@unusual_whales · 31 Jul 2026, 22:58 UTC

China is sending 400 rocket launchers to Iran under a new deal, with Tehran set to receive Chinese-made shoulder-fired air-defence missile launchers Read more: https://t.co/SVFc78A6T5