QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 01 Aug 2026, 13:02 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 14:32 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 01 Aug 2026, 09:06 UTC

The moment of Russian drone striking a residential high-rise building in Odesa. The drone hit the apartment complex, causing an explosion and heavy smoke.