QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 31 Jul 2026, 17:23 UTC → 31 Jul 2026, 18:53 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 31 Jul 2026, 05:09 UTC

Russia Reports Hitting Vessel Carrying Military Supplies En Route to Ukrainian Port Near Odesa