REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Polymarket
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Window 31 Jul 2026, 22:17 UTC → 31 Jul 2026, 23:47 UTC
Price at window start 57¢ → at trigger 62¢ → at close 61¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 11 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced +3.9pts: 57¢ at window start → 61¢ at close
- BOOK Book 2.6:1 ask, $7.6k/$19.8k within 10¢
- VOLUME $18.2k in 24h (7-day norm still forming)
volume summed from the market's own trade tape
Book 2.6:1 ask, $7.6k/$19.8k within 10¢ · spread 2.6¢
Triggers (1)
- 31 Jul 2026, 22:17 UTC: Sustained reprice: 57¢ → 62¢ (+4.9pts), confirmed over 82s
Context
- 6 trades printed in the window (Polymarket public tape)
Outcome: graded at window close
- +30m: 60¢, held +2.5ptspts
- Peak move: +5.0pts
- Held 80% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: yes
- Price at close: 61¢
- Graded from 67 snapshots