QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 31 Jul 2026, 22:33 UTC → 01 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 31 Jul 2026, 14:23 UTC

RUSSIAN DEFENCE MINISTRY ANNOUNCES THAT RUSSIAN FORCES STRUCK A VESSEL BRINGING SUPPLIES TO THE UKRAINIAN ARMY IN THE BLACK SEA.