QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 31 Jul 2026, 05:58 UTC → 31 Jul 2026, 07:28 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@Polymarket · 30 Jul 2026, 22:36 UTC

78% chance Hamas agrees to disarm. https://t.co/NZbgSlSIkS