QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 31 Jul 2026, 12:19 UTC → 31 Jul 2026, 13:49 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 30 Jul 2026, 21:03 UTC

EGYPTIAN OFFICIAL, RESPONDING TO THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, SAYS CAIRO DOES NOT BELIEVE IRAN WAS BEHIND THE DAMIETTA INCIDENT - AL ARABIYA