REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Window 30 Jul 2026, 18:24 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 19:54 UTC
Price at window start 95¢ → at trigger 91¢ → at close 94¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 03 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced -0.4pts: 95¢ at window start → 94¢ at close
- VOLUME 1.8× this market's 7-day norm, $99.8k in 24h
- BOOK Book 13.3:1 ask, $48.9k/$649.0k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $3.2k, 7.1× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 703 trades / 7d
Book 13.3:1 ask, $48.9k/$649.0k within 10¢ · spread 0.3¢
Triggers (4)
- 30 Jul 2026, 18:24 UTC: Sustained reprice: 95¢ → 91¢ (-3.9pts), confirmed over 61s
- 30 Jul 2026, 18:27 UTC: Sustained reprice: 91¢ → 85¢ (-5.8pts), confirmed over 53s
- 30 Jul 2026, 18:34 UTC: Sustained reprice: 85¢ → 90¢ (+5.1pts), confirmed over 200s
- 30 Jul 2026, 18:56 UTC: Sustained reprice: 90¢ → 93¢ (+3.2pts), confirmed over 152s
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 86¢, drift +5.3pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 93¢, held +1.4ptspts
- Peak move: +9.8pts
- Held 4% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
- Gave back half within 60m: yes
- Price at close: 94¢
- Graded from 69 snapshots