QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 07:38 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 09:08 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 23:14 UTC

THE PENTAGON AWARDED LOCKHEED MARTIN A $59 BLN DEAL TO TRIPLE PATRIOT MISSILE PRODUCTION OVER THE NEXT SEVEN YEARS AS THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WORKS TO REBUILD A MUNITIONS STOCKPILE DRAINED BY THE IRAN WAR, EXTENDING AN APRIL $4.7 BLN CONTRACT WITH A NEW $53.86 BLN MODIFICATION, WITH PRODUCTION RAMPING FROM ROUGHLY 600 MISSILES A YEAR TO AROUND 2,000 BY 2030 AND THE PAC-3 MSE INTERCEPTORS COSTING ABOUT $4 MLN EACH.