QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 22:19 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 23:49 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@zerohedge · 30 Jul 2026, 12:38 UTC

IRGC Strikes Jordan Again After 2-Hour US Bombardment Kills Iranian Troops, Civilians - Hormuz Traffic Creeps Higher https://t.co/X1Tatfd7Os