QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 05:21 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 06:51 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 19:26 UTC

BRENT CRUDE LEAPED 7.3% TO SETTLE AT $88.09 A BARREL AS FIGHTING RESUMED IN THE IRAN WAR, WITH IRAN LAUNCHING MISSILES AT AMERICAN FORCES IN THE MIDDLE EAST WHILE THE US MILITARY JOINED SAUDI ARABIA IN STRIKING TEHRAN-BACKED MILITIAS IN IRAQ