QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 21:56 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 23:26 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 30 Jul 2026, 08:10 UTC

US ARMY M142 HIMARS LAUNCHERS IN KUWAIT FIRED ATACMS AND PRSM MISSILES AT TARGETS ACROSS SOUTHERN IRAN OVERNIGHT, WITH REPORTED IMPACTS AROUND ABADAN, AHVAZ, BUSHEHR, KISH ISLAND, AND BANDAR ABBAS.