QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 18:22 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 19:52 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@sentdefender · 30 Jul 2026, 11:35 UTC

CCTV cameras at a home in Southeastern Poland captured the moment a Russian Kh-101 air-launched cruise missile struck a field last night near the Polish village of Tarnawa-Kolonia. https://t.co/HhFWNDkr5Q