QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 07:38 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 09:08 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 23:16 UTC

ISRAELI PM NETANYAHU SAYS HE THINKS IRAN IS WEAKER THAN EVER BEFORE, AND ON IRAN OPTIONS SAYS IT'S TRUMP'S DECISION