REPRICED
WINDOW OPEN: LIVE
Polymarket
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Window 30 Jul 2026, 10:30 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC
Price at window start 89¢ → at trigger 92¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 04 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Live payload
- REPRICED Repriced +6.5pts: 89¢ at window start → 95¢ now
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: above the upper bound 86¢ (band 83¢–86¢)
band basis: warming_up
- VOLUME 1.6× this market's 7-day norm, $114.5k in 24h
- BOOK Book 2.2:1 bid, $57.1k/$25.7k within 10¢
Triggers (2)
- 30 Jul 2026, 10:30 UTC: Sustained reprice: 89¢ → 92¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 31s
- 30 Jul 2026, 11:31 UTC: Sustained reprice: 92¢ → 96¢ (+4.0pts), confirmed over 30s