REPRICED
FINALISED: FROZEN
Kalshi
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Window 30 Jul 2026, 12:54 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 14:24 UTC
Price at window start 71¢ → at trigger 67¢ → at close 56¢
YES down · NO up
Resolves 11 Aug 2027, 14:00 UTC
Frozen payload
- REPRICED Repriced -15.0pts: 71¢ at window start → 56¢ at close
- OUTSIDE BAND Outside the 7-day band: below the lower bound 70¢ (band 70¢–73¢)
band basis: insufficient_data
- VOLUME 4.8× this market's 7-day norm, $81.4k in 24h
- BOOK Book 3.0:1 bid, $14.6k/$4.9k within 10¢
- UNUSUAL SIZE Largest trade $3.6k, 2.1× this market's typical big trade
size baseline: 95th pct of 420 trades / 7d
Book 3.0:1 bid, $14.6k/$4.9k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢
Triggers (3)
- 30 Jul 2026, 12:54 UTC: Sustained reprice: 71¢ → 67¢ (-4.0pts), confirmed over 20s
- 30 Jul 2026, 13:08 UTC: Sustained reprice: 67¢ → 64¢ (-3.0pts), confirmed over 29s
- 30 Jul 2026, 13:15 UTC: Sustained reprice: 64¢ → 57¢ (-6.0pts), confirmed over 30s
Outcome: graded at window close
- +2m after alert: 67¢, drift +0.0pts in the alert direction
- +30m: 57¢, held +13.0ptspts
- Peak move: +15.0pts
- Held 100% of the peak move at close
- Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
- Still beyond trigger at +30m: yes
- Still beyond trigger at +60m: yes
- Gave back half within 60m: no data
- Price at close: 56¢
- Graded from 126 snapshots