REPRICED FINALISED: FROZEN Kalshi

Next Fed rate hike?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 13:09 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 14:39 UTC

Price at window start 65¢ → at trigger 68¢ → at close 66¢

YES up · NO down

Resolves 01 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC

Frozen payload

REPRICED Repriced +1.0pts: 65¢ at window start → 66¢ at close
BOOK Book 1.7:1 bid, $23.9k/$13.8k within 10¢
VOLUME 1.1× this market's 7-day norm, $96.5k in 24h

Book 1.7:1 bid, $23.9k/$13.8k within 10¢ · spread 1.0¢

Triggers (1)

30 Jul 2026, 13:09 UTC: Sustained reprice: 65¢ → 68¢ (+3.0pts), confirmed over 39s

Outcome: graded at window close

+2m after alert: 66¢, drift -2.0pts in the alert direction
+30m: 66¢, held +1.0ptspts
Peak move: +3.0pts
Held 33% of the peak move at close
Still beyond trigger at +10m: no
Still beyond trigger at +30m: no
Still beyond trigger at +60m: no
Gave back half within 60m: yes
Price at close: 66¢
Graded from 135 snapshots