QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 23:31 UTC → 31 Jul 2026, 01:01 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@zerohedge · 30 Jul 2026, 18:02 UTC

Archegos 2.0 it was. *SITUATIONAL AWARENESS ASSETS SAID TO FALL TO $10 BILLION Down from $45BN less than a month ago. Historic implosion. Who is Archegos 3.0... there is still about $500BN in TRS excess leverage