QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 08:59 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 10:29 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 19:25 UTC

ZELENSKIY SAYS A MASSIVE RUSSIAN ATTACK ON UKRAINE IS LIKELY THIS EVENING, AND THAT DEFENDING UKRAINE'S PEOPLE DEPENDS ON THE WILLINGNESS OF PARTNERS, ESPECIALLY THE US, TO PROVIDE MISSILE DEFENSE