QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Window 30 Jul 2026, 12:21 UTC → 30 Jul 2026, 13:51 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Resolves 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 30 Jul 2026, 04:55 UTC

Russia Targets Military Facilities Across Ukraine, Including Areas Around Kyiv, Lviv and Dnipro – Interfax Reports Citing Defence Ministry