Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Window 29 Jul 2026, 14:46 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 16:16 UTC
Price at window start 71¢ → at trigger 74¢ → at close 69¢
YES up · NO down
Resolves 28 Oct 2026, 23:59 UTC
Frozen payload
REPRICED Repriced -1.5pts: 71¢ at window start → 69¢ at close
BOOK Book 2.5:1 ask, $5.2k/$12.7k within 10¢ depth from the 16:08 UTC snapshot (no close reading)
TIMING First reprice T+68m
WIRE Wire: @zerohedge T−68m, link confidence 75%: "JPMorgan warns next round of selling will hit indexes beyond just single stocks:
"Focus remains firmly on the AI/Te…"
VOLUME 1.2× this market's 7-day norm, $7.7k in 24h