QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 15:09 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 16:39 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 11:27 UTC

IRAQ'S HARAKAT HEZBOLLAH AL NUJABA SAYS IT WILL NOT ALLOW U.S. OR SAUDI FORCES TO "DESECRATE IRAQI SOIL WITHOUT PAYING A HEAVY PRICE"