QUIET WIRE FINALISED: FROZEN Polymarket

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?

Window 29 Jul 2026, 14:46 UTC → 29 Jul 2026, 16:16 UTC

Price at window start n/a

Wire activity, no reprice

A linked post crossed the wire and this market did not move beyond its thresholds within the 90-minute window. Recorded for the archive; never delivered as an alert.

@FirstSquawk · 29 Jul 2026, 13:15 UTC

FOUR MEMBERS OF IRAN’S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS WERE KILLED IN US-SAUDI STRIKES ON THE IRAN-BACKED POPULAR MOBILIZATION FORCES IN IRAQ, TEHRAN-BASED DIDBAN NEWS WEBSITE REPORTED ON WEDNESDAY.